374

Handicapper Blog

Posted by Rachel Ryan on Saturday, April 12, 2014 11:26 PM

 

 Road to the WHHC Finals Week 2

By Rusty Nash

In last week’s post we took a look at a suggested generic strategy when preparing for a tournament.  Until the WHHC program is available all we can do now is study the horses, trainers and drivers with an eye toward finding some nugget of data that can help us on the 19th.  Here we will address the equine athletes based on what we saw this last weekend, picked up from analyzing charts and watching replays. 

  

There are a few different things I like to look for.  The first are sharp horses who can move up and win.  They usually offer good value.  Next up are troubled trips.  We all know what they are and I have a couple listed below.  Hidden form is tougher to find.  If we can find some horses that put in a good middle half and were beaten late, they can sometimes rebound with excellent prices off of a race that is much better than it might look.  Visually impressive performances are the next and final thing I like to review.  This may actually be the toughest one to figure out as we have to be sure that we are seeing a legitimate move as opposed to someone controlling the pace or others slowing down even more in the lane. 

  

Below are two groups of horses that I plan to follow.  They will all be keyed into my free TrackMaster.com Harness Virtual Stable.  I also keep them in a spreadsheet and report them back when I run the digital version of the program through my software.   

  

The first list contains horses that performed well enough in some way last Friday and Saturday to merit joining my watch list.  The second follows up on some of those that I was already looking at from previous weeks. 

  

Early next week I will post an update on how well this stable functioned,  who I will hold over, plus any new performances worth tracking. 

  

Wishing us all great racing luck this weekend. 

  

New Horses That Raced April 4th and 5th 

  

Belle Boyd – Put in a pretty good three quarters. 

  

Kz Beach Girl – Was first up with some pace. 

  

Nutmegs Cider – Executed a well timed effort and may be good at a price in a FM C-1 

  

Demented – Put in a big first over effort from the outside.  Let’s see where he ends up this week and who is in the bike. 

  

Screen The Call – From the outside as first over for long enough to follow back. 

  

Spender Hanover – May have tired a bit too much to play back, but let’s see where he lands. 

  

Alexa’s Jackpot – Forced three wide and still picked up good ground late. 

  

Dew N Doughnuts – Forced three wide and still picked up good ground late. 

  

Pappy’s Pal – A solid winner who could go well in a B-2 if not combined with stronger. 

  

OK Fame – Was just caught on the brush and crush, sharp. 

  

Horses Already On One of My Lists 

  

All Munky Business – Left from the outside and then went first up for quite a bit in the slop.  Am willing to follow back one more time and see who and where he draws in. 

  

Zuppa Inglese – A Burke horse who performed quite well in the slop. 

  

Undercover Strike – Responded when asked late to go.  Kind of hoping this one sits out next week so I can play him during the NHHC reception the night before the final. 

  

Handsoffmycupcake – This one is probably on everyone’s list after some big time traffic problems. 

  

TSMLil Oprhan Andy – If this last race had been on the final, I would have loaded up on this one only to be second best.  Hoping I would have played it to win and place.  Super sharp now but we lose a lot of value next time out. 

 



Comments 0
Leave a Comment

Add Comment

Text Only 2000 character limit
add comment